Welcome to the Lavoisier Group Website
You will find here a wide range of papers and the search engine will enable you to look up anything of particular interest.
The topics covered include greenhouse gas theory; solar and planetary influences on the earth's climate; predictions of future climate; the history of climate change; the economics of energy and technology; energy security; the role of the IPCC in promoting global warming hysteria; the response of Australia's governments to the decarbonisation campaigns of the Environmentalist movement and the media.
Vale Ray Evans
"... Ray's service to the public good ranged much more widely than industrial relations. I mention only his major roles in The Samuel Griffith Society, The Galatians Group, The Lavoisier Group and The Bennelong Society to indicate the variety, and the institutional significance, of his interests and the remarkable contribution he made to public policy debate in Australia..."
-- John Stone [Click here for John's RN interview
"Remembering HR Nicholls co-founder Ray Evans"]
"Our ever-genial friend, fervent apostle for liberty under the rule of law, and one who was instrumental in changing the climate of opinion in Australia and beyond on workplace relations, climate alarmism and the value and morality of the free market order."
-- Tom Bostock
"I admired Ray for his wisdom, sound instincts, courage, indomitable cheerfulness and deep cultural and historical knowledge. Nothing in human affairs was new to him. It was all set in the long history of humankind - a history he well knew - which enabled Ray to instantly spot old frauds in new clothes."
-- Andrew Bolt
[Ray Evans' contributions to the Lavoisier Website]
Why Global Warming Science is Nothing but Fraud
4 December 2013
There is no real science to be found in the subject of global warming. Modern studies of global warming could be traced back to Charney et al., 1979 . This paper was produced by a study group created by the National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Climate Research Board, USA, charged with the task of producing an assessment of the 'carbon dioxide/climate issue'.
The paper of Charney et al., 1979, consists of nothing but modelling. It's exactly the same as dozens of other modelling studies on the complexities of the atmosphere, each having its own peculiarities on minutia. Such modelling is nothing resembling science. Numerous factors are admitted to be too vague to be included. The factors which are included are so complex that the numbers used are nothing but guesses. If politicians want the best guess possible, that doesn't make it science. (http://www.atmos.ucla.edu/~brianpm/download/charney_report.pdf)
Modelling is the opposite of science, as it is a method of imposing subjective motives onto people. Science has the purpose of putting an end to that fraud. Continue reading...
New Submission to Senate Committee
by Dr Ian R.G. Wilson
Personal Submission to the Senate Committee on Recent Trends in and Preparedness for Extreme Weather Events. South-Eastern Australia needs to prepare for hot dry conditions in the summer of 2019 and possible extensive flooding in 2029.
One religion is enough
by John Howard[An extract from the Annual Lecture to Global Warming Policy Foundation on 5 November 2013]
We are all aware of the climate enthusiasts, who advocate quite substantial, and costly, responses to what they see as irrefutable evidence that the world's climate faces catastrophe. By employing a sanctimonious tone against people who do not share their view, they show their true colours: to them the cause has become a substitute religion. Increasingly offensive language is used. The most egregious example has been the term "denier".
We are all aware of the particular meaning that word has acquired in contemporary parlance. It has been employed in this debate with some malice aforethought. An overriding feature of the debate is the constant attempt to intimidate policy makers, in some cases successfully, with the mantras of "follow the science" and "the science is truly settled".
The purpose is to create the impression that there is really no room for argument; this is not really a public policy issue; it is one on which the experts have spoken, and we would all be quite daft to do other than follow the prescriptions, it is asserted, which flow automatically from the scientific findings. Continue reading...
Ray Evans Reflects19 October 2013
"Various commentators are telling us we must have a "price on carbon". One presumes they mean that we need to levy a tax on emissions of carbon dioxide, which is not quite the same thing. Currently NSW is suffering from the worst bushfires for a decade. These bushfires are emitting many megatonnes of CO2, arguably equivalent to Australia's annual emissions of anthropogenic CO2. Does the atmospheric CO2 from bushfires play a different climate control role to mankind's emissions? If not, then who is to pay the tax on them? This on-going "carbon" lunacy becomes increasingly difficult to challenge, since the language and the slogans used by the Warmists have no connection with the real world."
"The story from Germany becomes increasingly fantastic (although tragic for the Germans). The account of a secret deal between Germany and the UK in which Germany could save its auto industry, and Britain keep its financial services sector in good health is something out of Fawlty Towers - "Don't mention the War".
For related articles, see our Most Recent Additions page.
IPCC at a crossroad with fifth climate change report
by William Kininmonth25 September 2013
The meeting of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in Stockholm this week is arguably the most important in its 25-year history. The meeting is to finalise the fifth IPCC assessment report, the UN's formal advice to governments.
Since the release of the fourth report in 2007, the IPCC finds itself battling to retain credibility as a source of independent advice to governments.
Parliamentary and semi-judicial inquiries were held in Britain following unintended public access to email exchanges held by the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia. The emails involved scientists and others associated with the IPCC process. No wrong-doing was attributed to the scientists but questions of probity and bias were left unanswered. Continue reading...
Taxing Air successfully launched in Adelaide
29 July 2013
Written by Bob Carter and John Spooner, Taxing Air: Facts and Fallacies About Climate Change was successfully launched by Senator Cory Bernardi at the Bert Kelly Research Centre in Adelaide on 29 July.
Speakers at the launch included Lydia Bevege (Institute of Public Affairs), Centre Chairman Bob Day and author Prof. Bob Carter. More information and images here.
BOOK LAUNCH: "Reflections of a Professional Engineer"
a personal account of family and professional life
4.30 pm, Wednesday 19 December 2012,
Engineers Australia Auditorium, Chatswood, NSW
George Fox AM was a founding member of the Lavoisier Group. He had a long career with the English Electric Company as managing director for Australia, after which at age 55 he formed his own small business which he ran for the next 43 years. He was on the boards of 12 companies, represented numerous manufacturers, ranging from turbine blades to arc furnaces to transportation systems and spent much time and energy giving back to the profession. For more than a decade he championed a realistic and fact-based view of climate change, deriding false science.
He was made a Member of the Order of Australia for services to engineering in 2007 and also received the James N Kirby Award for outstanding contributions to electrical engineering.
George Fox died in June 2012 aged 98. His memorial service was held in Pymble on 14 June which noted that he was still on the board of one company at the time of his passing. He had had a huge innings, packing in the '60 seconds worth of distance run' every waking minute. He had completed the text of his book at the time of his death. "Reflections of a Professional Engineer" was launched on Wednesday 19 December 2012 at 4.30pm at Engineers Australia Auditorium in Chatswood in Sydney.
Further information may be found here. Ray Evans' obituary notice is here.
Copies of the book will be available on the evening for purchase, at $65.00 nett. Cash or cheque payable to 'ECF Engineering Pty Ltd'. To obtain a copy please write to Robert Fox at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Important New Paper
Is the Western Climate Establishment Corrupt?
by Dr David Evans
"How many excuses does it take? The Western Climate Establishment has allowed egregious mistakes, major errors, and obvious biases to accumulate - each factor on its own might be hard to pin down, but the pattern is undeniable."
"The public might not understand the science, but they do understand cheating..."
Download the PDF [4.5 Mb] here.
The Climategate Emails
edited and annotated by John Costella
In November 2009, an anonymous whistleblower put just over 1000 emails comprising email traffic to and from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia (UEA) on an obscure Russian website. They were subsequently rapidly disseminated around the world.
These emails show a tightly knit cabal of scientists adjusting temperature data to conform to their political agenda; exerting pressure to censor publications going into the "peer reviewed" literature (usually with complete success); bullying journalists with threats of excommunication so that what was published in the mainstream media was in accordance with the global warming agenda; and using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as the primary vehicle for their political ambitions.
To work through these emails, in order to discover what was going on, is a major undertaking. John Costella has provided us with an edited and annotated account of the emails which enables the lay person, in a relatively short time, to understand what was going on and how it was done.
This PDF version of the published book will provide access to everyone who is concerned with this great debate. It is available here.
Hard copy of Back to the Nineteenth Century available on request;
online version also available
Back to the Nineteenth Century, comprises three essays by Ray Evans (on the social and economic consequences of the CPRS), Tom Quirk (on the shortcomings of the IPCC science) and Alan Moran (on the economic consequences of the Act, especially for energy), together with a foreword by Peter Walsh.
The publication is available in either of two forms: as hard copy or as an online PDF file. To order a hard copy, please send your details to the Secretary here. Please include your name and postal address and the number of copies you would like to receive. The Lavoisier Group would be grateful to receive donations to cover postage and printing costs.
If preferred, the booklet may also be downloaded as a PDF file. To download it, please click here [2.9 Mb PDF].
Latest posting: 27 September 2013
Latest additions to the site include Bill Kininmonth's Article in The Age "IPCC at a crossroad with fifth climate change report", notification of the successful booklaunch of Taxing Air, written by Bob Carter and John Spooner, Tim Curtin's most recent paper on econometrics and climate change, Tom Quirk's comprehensive collection of climate data and charts, Seamus French's recent story in The Australian (4 April 2011), Tim Curtin's critical assessment of the omissions in Ross Garnaut's Updates, Bill Kininmonth's recent paper on Clausius Clapeyron, Cliff Ollier's Online Opinion piece on Tuvalu, Hugh Morgan's Presidential Report for 2010, David Evans on the corruption of the Western climate establishment, John Costella's edited and annotated account of the Climategate emails, Cliff Ollier's Geoscientist journal article on glaciation, and Ray Evans's assessment of Copenhagen (originally published in Quadrant).
Our most recent Forum was held in Melbourne in July 2008. Entitled 'The Solar System and Earth's Climate', we are adding presentations from the Forum to our site as they come to hand. Click here for three Forum papers on the life and work of Rhodes Fairbridge. Click here for Ian Wilson's 'Which Came First: The Chicken or the Egg?' [PDF]