President's Report 2008
In the late 18th Century a major change in human interpretation
of the world around them commenced in several places, especially
in Great Britain.
The onus of proof in interpretation of the world moved from
conclusions based on myth and superstition towards conclusions
based on evidence and logic.
The Scottish Enlightenment or the Age of Reason became permanent
in the civilised world. Had that not happened human life would
have continued to be "nasty, brutish and short".
In the 1970s tens and tens of thousands flocked to Adelaide
beaches to avoid the catastrophes prophesised by a single charlatan.
Such events, sporadic but not uncommon, had been known for hundreds
of years. Their ability to attract a passionate and gullible
mass audience was based on the theme that mortal sins had angered
Modern catastrophists, ie authoritarian secular religionists,
believe man must be punished for raping the earth to support
the present quality of human life. Their secular Bible is the
Kyoto hypothesis that Earth is getting hotter and hotter because
we have harnessed fossil energy. Ross Garnaut believes it may
be already too late to "save" the Barrier Reef.
Similarly they talk about a "tipping point" at which
"greenhouse gases" will cause temperatures to rise
exponentially and therefore beyond control. That stands truth
on its head. Every incremental unit of CO2
has less effect than every preceding unit.
Until very recently 1998 was believed to be the hottest year
on record, but a recent NASA check on the data showed the hottest
year to be 1934. Some climatologists believe that (somewhat cyclical)
solar activity is the chief controller of temperature on earth
and that we are moving into a cooler period.
This evidence will also be ignored because Kyoto zealots have
invested all their intellectual capital and professional reputations
into dodgy IPCC models.
Under the banner of "consensus" the IPCC claims
moral and intellectual infallibility. A good example of its pursuit
of "consensus" concerns leading hurricane expert Dr
Christopher Landsea of the Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological
Laboratory. The IPCC organised a press conference on October
2004, at Harvard University, at which Kevin Trenberth, a leading
IPCC scientist, was going to announce that increased anthropogenic
CO2 emissions were responsible for increasing
number and severity of hurricanes. Christopher Landsea had been
a leading contributor to the IPCC' s work on hurricanes, and
was well aware that there was no evidence at all to link anthropogenic
CO2 emissions to hurricane frequency or
He protested strongly to the IPCC over this fraudulent claim,
a claim which generated substantial press coverage around the
world, but his protests had no impact. Worse, the IPCC continued
to list Dr Landsea as one of its key scientific advisers on this
topic. Not until Landsea took legal action did the IPCC remove
his name from their list of .scientific authorities.
The IPCC like most UN Agencies is self serving and intellectually
All climate variations likely to cause human harm are attributed,
by Kyoto Cultists, to "greenhouse gases". When the
Cult was launched 20 years ago, one article of faith was that
rising temperatures would generally increase rainfall. The current
fashion or dogma is that it causes devastating drought. One Stephen
Schneider, a veteran climatic catastrophist, once said that it
was sometimes necessary to choose between saying what is effective
or what is true.
Profligate, self indulgent wastage of energy a la Al Gore
should be regarded as antisocial. But what coercive action, if
any, should be taken against the use of fossil fuel, is premature
and fraught with danger. Climate commissars---like Clive Hamilton
who believes "denialists" should be put on trial---are
The present Australian Government has decided we will have
an emissions trading system operating in 2010. Almost certainly
that is a recipe for defeat at the next election. More importantly
the next Government would be burdened by a dysfunctional system
which will benefit rent seeking spivs, and usher in ongoing political
turmoil from vested interests about who should be hit by how
much, and who will get exempted or concessions.
I will provide one example:
At the ABARE Outlook Conference earlier this year emissions
trading, including carbon sinks, received much attention, including
a proposal that perennial grasses should be planted around Meekatharra
to fix, and continue accumulating, carbon in their roots. The
grass growers would receive "market" price for the
carbon. Who would audit that? An honest audit is simply not possible.
But the rent seeking spivs will work out how to pinch the money.
The South West Karri forest and the Murray Darling Basin,
all the Earth's adverse droughts, floods, hurricanes, cyclones,
storms etc, are attributed to "greenhouse gases", CO2 especially, produced by burning fossil fuel.
The answer to the "problem" is the Kyoto Protocol.
To my knowledge, no Kyoto true believer has ever acknowledged let alone tried to explain why the
Earth was much hotter when Romans were growing wine grapes in
Northern England and Vikings for centuries grew cereal crops
in Greenland. Nor have they acknowledged those facts. Whatever
facts cannot be reconciled with the Kyoto hypothesis are ignored.
Such people should not be taken seriously.
Ross Garnaut and the Rudd Government, desperately trying to
rationalise their support for a carbon trading system, argue
that it is Australia's moral duty to lead the way to a safer,
cleaner world. When no other country follows that lead, we will
wreck much of the Australian economy for a negligible decrease
in "greenhouse gases". Is that madness or masochism?
Or both? For certain, neither China nor India with annual emission
increases vastly vastly exceeding Australia's total output,
will take any notice. Nor should they.
Finally, the last thing an Australia already facing the threat
of rising inflation needs is a carbon trading system which will
push up even further the Consumer Price Index.
I wish to comment on our website, which has experienced a
dramatic increase in hit rates and downloads over the last twelve
months. So much so that we have had to pay increased charges
for the download rate. We have agreed to spend approximately
$3,000 on upgrading and re-badging the website. But there can
be no doubt that our website has been a very useful weapon in
the battle against superstition and fantasy.
Chris Ulyatt has provided us with a valuable service and I
wish to acknowledge his contribution.
Web Statistics April 2007--June 2008
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1. There have been a few puerile
attempts to ignore the facts on the grounds that local ocean
currents warmed a tiny area north west of Europe.